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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
06.12.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction
06.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
1 : 1
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - FC St. Pauli December 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.46 / 2 3.77
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 47.2% / X 27.5% / FC St. Pauli 25.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 47.2%
X 27.5%
2 25.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5 47.7%
Under 2.5 52.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.47 market consensus · line only
1 2.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.33 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.98 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.03 49.3%
X 3.57 28.0%
3.92 25.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.55 28.2%
3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 2.01 49.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.31 76.3%
Match center
1. FC Köln
D L L W L
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
08.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
02.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
FC St. Pauli
L L L L L
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:3 BavariyaBavariya
23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
09.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:4 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - FC St. Pauli

1. FC Köln
0 matches total
FC St. Pauli
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history