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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
02.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - Hamburger SV

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
4 : 1
Finished
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - Hamburger SV November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.62 / 2 2.90
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 40.2% / X 26.6% / Hamburger SV 33.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 40.2%
X 26.6%
2 33.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - Hamburger SV

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.62 market consensus · line only
1 2.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.28 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.29 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.45 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.43 41.2%
X 3.65 27.4%
2.92 34.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.35 42.6% 2.41 41.5% 2.43 41.2% 2.43 41.2%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.64 27.5% 3.65 27.4% 3.65 27.4%
2.90 34.5% 2.97 33.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.92 34.3% 2.92 34.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.55 39.2% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.56 39.1% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.61 62.1% 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.32 75.8% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4%
Match center
1. FC Köln
L D W L L
25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
03.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
28.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
20.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Hamburger SV
L L W D W
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 4:0 MayntsMaynts
28.09 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - Hamburger SV

1. FC Köln
0 matches total
Hamburger SV
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history