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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
20.12.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction
20.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1. FC Köln - Union Berlin

Germany Football
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
0 : 1
Finished
Union Berlin
Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1. FC Köln - Union Berlin December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1. FC Köln.

Line favourite market consensus: 1. FC Köln. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.58 / X 3.27 / 2 2.78
  • 1X2 market: 1. FC Köln 36.8% / X 29.0% / Union Berlin 34.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 36.8%
X 29.0%
2 34.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Under 2.5 51.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1. FC Köln - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 2.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.45 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.96 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.08 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.64 37.9%
X 3.39 29.5%
2.82 35.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.56 39.1% 2.63 38.0% 2.67 37.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.39 29.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3%
2.74 36.5% 2.82 35.5% 2.89 34.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.13 47.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.70 58.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.74 57.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.54 64.9%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
1. FC Köln
L D D L L
13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
08.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
Union Berlin
W L L W D
12.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 3:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1. FC Köln - Union Berlin

1. FC Köln
0 matches total
Union Berlin
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history