Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Futbol
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 4
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 14 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.79 / X 5.40 / 2 1.43
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 14.3% / X 18.0% / Bayer Leverkusen 67.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 14.3%
X 17.9%
2 67.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.43 market consensus · line only
X 5.40 market consensus · line only
1 6.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 3.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 6.79 14.7%
Х 5.40 18.5%
П2 1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 3.05 32.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 3.5 2.05 48.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.55 18.0%
П2 1.18 84.8%