Bundesliga Germany

17.01.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

17.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Futbol

1899 Hoffenheim

1 : 0

Finished

Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 17 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.75 / 2 2.83
1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 41.1% / X 25.4% / Bayer Leverkusen 33.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 41.0%

X 25.4%

2 33.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 63.5%

Under 2.5 36.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 17.01.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.84 market consensus · line only

X 3.75 market consensus · line only

1 2.32 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.61 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.44 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.32 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.75 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.47 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	2.36 42.4%
Х	3.83 26.1%
П2	2.91 34.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	2.30 43.5%	2.33 42.9%	2.38 42.0%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.32 43.1%
Х	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.91 25.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%
П2	2.82 35.5%	2.85 35.1%	2.95 33.9%	2.75 36.4%	2.88 34.7%	2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.75 36.4%	2.82 35.5%	2.66 37.6%	2.70 37.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.67 37.5%	2.80 35.7%	2.62 38.2%	2.97 33.7%
yes	1.42 70.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.43 69.9%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.66 60.2%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.42 70.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.46 68.5%

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim

W D W L W

14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 5:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 VfB Stuttgart

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 4:1 Hamburger SV

07.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:2 Borussia Dortmund

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC Augsburg

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Bayer Leverkusen

L W W L L

10.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 VfB Stuttgart

20.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 RB Leipzig

13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 1. FC Köln

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 FC Augsburg

29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 Borussia Dortmund

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen

1899 Hoffenheim

2 matches total

Bayer Leverkusen

1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Bayer Leverkusen: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 1:4 (14.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (1:4, 14.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 5

5 Goals conceded 3

Match history

23.08 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

2:1

Bayer Leverkusen

14.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

1:4

Bayer Leverkusen