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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Finished
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund April 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.08 / X 4.17 / 2 1.83
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 23.8% / X 23.3% / Borussia Dortmund 53.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 23.8%
X 23.3%
2 53.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.83 market consensus · line only
X 4.17 market consensus · line only
1 4.08 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.08 24.5%
X 4.17 24.0%
1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.27 78.7%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 2.06 48.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.31 43.3%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.11 32.2%
1.40 71.4%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
L W L D W
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 FrayburgFrayburg
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Borussia Dortmund
W D W L W
20.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 3:2 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
12.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:2 BavariyaBavariya
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 4:1 FrayburgFrayburg
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
10 Points