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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
14.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
5 : 1
Finished
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Monchengladbach January 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.91 / X 3.89 / 2 3.75
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 49.9% / X 24.5% / Borussia Monchengladbach 25.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 50.0%
X 24.5%
2 25.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 61.0%
Under 2.5 39.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.01.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.76 market consensus · line only
X 3.90 market consensus · line only
1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.92 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.54 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.57 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.47 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
X 3.93 25.5%
3.90 25.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6%
X 3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.01 24.9% 4.00 25.0% 4.10 24.4% 3.75 26.7%
3.65 27.4% 3.80 26.3% 3.98 25.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.45 40.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.42 41.3% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.63 38.0% 2.39 41.8% 2.61 38.3% 2.45 40.8%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.96 51.0% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
D W L W D
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
07.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
21.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Borussia Monchengladbach
W L L W D
11.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 4:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
19.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:3 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.12 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 MayntsMaynts
28.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:0 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - Borussia Monchengladbach

1899 Hoffenheim
1 matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (4:4, 03.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 4:4 (03.05 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 4

Match history

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
4:4
Borussia Mönchengladbach