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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
29.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 4.12 / 2 4.36
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 55.0% / X 23.2% / FC Augsburg 21.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 55.0%
X 23.1%
2 21.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Under 2.5 38.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.37 market consensus · line only
X 4.13 market consensus · line only
1 1.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.98 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.76 56.8%
X 4.23 23.6%
4.41 22.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.32 23.2% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8%
4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.68 21.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.35 42.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.37 42.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.48 40.3%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.22 45.1%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
D W W W W
21.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 MayntsMaynts
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
02.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
FC Augsburg
W L L L D
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
09.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:6 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
4 Points