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Bundesliga Germany

28.02.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

28.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football

1899 Hoffenheim

0 : 1

Finished

FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - FC St. Pauli February 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.46 / X 4.55 / 2 6.69
1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 64.9% / X 20.9% / FC St. Pauli 14.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%

1 65.0%

X 20.8%

2 14.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%

Over 2.5 53.8%

Under 2.5 46.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 28.02.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.71 market consensus · line only

X 4.56 market consensus · line only

1 1.46 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.71 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.71 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.09 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.84 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.48 67.6%
X	4.61 21.7%
	6.95 14.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.44 69.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.50 66.7%
X	4.30 23.3%	4.70 21.3%	4.82 20.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.75 21.1%	4.65 21.5%
	7.10 14.1%	6.40 15.6%	6.96 14.4%	6.00 16.7%	6.25 16.0%	6.90 14.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.83 54.6%	1.82 55.0%	1.82 55.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.85 54.1%
yes	1.91 52.4%	2.00 50.0%	1.90 52.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.95 51.3%	1.93 51.8%	1.91 52.4%	1.90 52.6%	2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.70 37.0%	2.77 36.1%	2.63 38.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.70 37.0%	2.70 37.0%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.09 91.7%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.07 93.5%

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim

D W L W W

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Frayburg

08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:5 Bavariya

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Union Berlin

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Werder Bremen

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

10 Points

FC St. Pauli

W L W L D

22.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 2:1 Werder Bremen

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:4 Bayer Leverkusen

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 2:1 VfB Stuttgart

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:2 FC Augsburg

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:1 RB Leipzig

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.8 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - FC St. Pauli

1899 Hoffenheim

1 matches total

FC St. Pauli

1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)

Biggest win 1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 (19.10 15:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 19.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 3

Match history

19.10 15:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

3:0

FC St. Pauli