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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
12.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
12.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2 : 0
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05 April 12, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.

Line favourite market consensus: FSV Mainz 05. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.79 / X 3.49 / 2 2.58
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 34.7% / X 27.8% / FSV Mainz 05 37.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 34.7%
X 27.7%
2 37.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 53.6%
Under 2.5 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.58 market consensus · line only
X 3.49 market consensus · line only
1 2.79 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.55 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.79 35.8%
X 3.49 28.7%
2.58 38.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.48 67.6%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.55 64.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.81 55.3%
Under 2.5 2.09 47.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.01 49.8%
1.85 54.1%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
L D W D L
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
29.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:4 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
FSV Mainz 05
D D L W L
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
05.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 3:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points