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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 2
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05 April 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.82 / 2 4.23
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 52.6% / X 24.9% / FSV Mainz 05 22.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 52.7%
X 24.8%
2 22.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 57.2%
Under 2.5 42.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.82 market consensus · line only
1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.22 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1%
X 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3% 3.98 25.1% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.95 25.3%
4.00 25.0% 4.60 21.7% 4.47 22.4% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.35 23.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.17 46.1%
yes 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.93 51.8% 2.06 48.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.04 96.2% — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0 — — 1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5 1.22 82.0% — —
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6% — —
Over 2.75 — 1.88 53.2% —
Over 3.0 — 2.06 48.5% —
Over 3.5 2.60 38.5% — —
Over 4.5 4.75 21.1% — —
Over 5.5 8.00 12.5% — —
Under 0.5 10.00 10.0% — —
Under 1.5 4.20 23.8% — —
Under 2.5 2.20 45.5% — —
Under 2.75 — 2.04 49.0% —
Under 3.0 — 1.84 54.4% —
Under 3.5 1.48 67.6% — —
Under 4.5 1.18 84.8% — —
Under 5.5 1.07 93.5% — —
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
L D W L D
20.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:5 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
5 Points
FSV Mainz 05
W W D D D
22.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
15.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
20.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - FSV Mainz 05

1899 Hoffenheim
2 matches total
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
FSV Mainz 05: 0 (0%)
Biggest win 1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 (12.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 21.11 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (21.11 19:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 3

Match history

21.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
1:1
Maynts
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
2:0
Maynts