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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
4 : 1
Finished
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.22 / 2 4.45
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 56.0% / X 22.6% / Hamburger SV 21.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 56.0%
X 22.6%
2 21.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5 64.2%
Under 2.5 35.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.46 market consensus · line only
X 4.23 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.23 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.07 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.50 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.71 58.5%
X 4.36 22.9%
4.56 21.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.36 22.9% 3.90 25.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
4.45 22.5% 4.45 22.5% 4.67 21.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.55 39.2% 2.54 39.4% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.65 37.7%
yes 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.49 67.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1% 1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.10 47.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.23 44.8%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.24 80.7% 1.23 81.3%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
L W D W W
07.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
21.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 MayntsMaynts
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
02.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Hamburger SV
W W L D L
07.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 3:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
30.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 0:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
02.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Hamburger SV 1:4 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points