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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
08.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 1
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.68 / X 3.78 / 2 2.43
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 35.6% / X 25.2% / RB Leipzig 39.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 35.6%
X 25.2%
2 39.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 67.7%
Under 2.5 32.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.43 market consensus · line only
X 3.78 market consensus · line only
1 2.68 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.48 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.58 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.46 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.91 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.76 36.2%
X 3.85 26.0%
2.46 40.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.78 36.0% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.80 26.3% 3.94 25.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.70 27.0%
2.44 41.0% 2.44 41.0% 2.49 40.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 2.98 33.6% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.93 34.1% 3.25 30.8%
yes 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.48 67.6% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
W W W L D
02.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
19.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
03.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 FrayburgFrayburg
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
RB Leipzig
W W W D W
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 6:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig

1899 Hoffenheim
1 matches total
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
RB Leipzig: 1 (100%)
Biggest win RB Leipzig 1:3 (05.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 05.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
1:3
RB Leipzig