Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
31.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin

Germany Futbol
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 1
Finished
Union Berlin
Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 31 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.55 / 2 4.03
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 49.5% / X 26.8% / Union Berlin 23.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 49.6%
X 26.8%
2 23.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 50.7%
Under 2.5 49.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.55 market consensus · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.49 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.86 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.93 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.94 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.96 51.0%
Х 3.57 28.0%
П2 4.16 24.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.84 54.4% 1.94 51.6% 1.98 50.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.98 50.5%
Х 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.16 24.0% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 1.92 52.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.93 51.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
W W W W D
27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
17.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 5:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
13 Points
Union Berlin
L D D D W
24.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
18.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
15.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
10.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:2 MayntsMaynts
20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin

1899 Hoffenheim
2 matches total
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Union Berlin: 1 (50%)
Biggest win 1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 (13.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (4:2, 13.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 5

Match history

13.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
4:2
Union Berlin
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
1:2
Union Berlin