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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
32-й тур 02.05.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction
02.05.2026 13:30 UTC 32-й тур
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Futbol
Stadium PreZero Arena
Capacity 30 164
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3 : 3
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 VfB Stuttgart — 39%

1 · 1899 Hoffenheim37.0%
X · draw24.4%
2 · VfB Stuttgart38.6%

Model estimate: win 1899 Hoffenheim 37.0%, draw 24.4%, win VfB Stuttgart 38.6%. Model favourite — VfB Stuttgart.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart 2 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 3.90 / 2 2.63
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 39.6% / X 24.3% / VfB Stuttgart 36.1%
  • Glicko: 1899 Hoffenheim 37.0% / X 24.4% / VfB Stuttgart 38.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 41.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 39.7%
X 24.3%
2 36.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5 67.4%
Under 2.5 32.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 2/4
Confidence 38.9%
Total ТМ 2.5
Score 1:1

Модели не полностью совпадают, поэтому прогноз нужно сверять с рынком и линией.

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Match center
Stadium ПреЦеро Арена (Зинсхайм, Германия), 30 150 зрителей (100% при вместимости 30 164)
Referee Саша Штегеман (Нидеркассель, Германия)
Start 02.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Capacity 30,164
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model VfB Stuttgart 39%
💹 Market 1899 Hoffenheim 3963%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Хоффенхайм - Штутгарт, 2 мая 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Чемпионат Германии по футболу (Бундеслига) 2025/2026, 32-й тур. Хоффенхайм - Штутгарт, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 4 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 3:3
Events 19
Statistics 26
Lineups 40
min Event Player Team
8' 8' Normal Goal 1899 Hoffenheim
20' 20' Normal Goal | C. Fuhrich | assist/sub out: R. Hendriks C. Führich VfB Stuttgart
23' 23' Normal Goal | B. Toure B. Touré 1899 Hoffenheim
49' 49' Yellow Card | A. Kramaric Andrej Kramarić 1899 Hoffenheim
49' 49' Normal Goal | A. Kramaric | assist/sub out: B. Toure Andrej Kramarić 1899 Hoffenheim
55' 55' Substitution 1 | J. Chabot | assist/sub out: M. Mittelstadt J. Chabot VfB Stuttgart
55' 55' Substitution 2 | J. Vagnoman | assist/sub out: E. Demirovic J. Vagnoman VfB Stuttgart
58' 58' Yellow Card | B. El Khannouss Bilal El Khannouss VfB Stuttgart
Metric 1899 Hoffenheim VfB Stuttgart SStats
Ожидаемые голы (xG) 2.47 1.57 final
Заблокированные удары 3 4 final
Удары мимо 10 5 final
Удары в створ 9 5 final
Удары всего 22 14 final
Фолы совершено 18 9 final
Красные карточки 0 1 final
Желтые карточки 3 1 final
1899 Hoffenheim #1 O. Baumann, #13 Bernardo, #18 W. Burger, #19 T. Lemperle, #29 B. Touré, #7 L. Avdullahu, #11 F. Asllani, #21 A. Hajdari, #5 O. Kabak, #27 Andrej Kramarić, #34 V. Coufal
VfB Stuttgart #3 R. Hendriks, #6 Angelo Stiller, #10 C. Führich, #26 Deniz Undav, #33 Alexander Nübel, #11 Bilal El Khannouss, #16 A. Karazor, #24 J. Chabot, #14 L. Jaquez, #18 Jamie Leweling, #4 J. Vagnoman
Player Team Metric SStats
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Дриблинг попытки 2
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Единоборства всего 1
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Единоборства выиграно 5
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Сейвы 0
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim football.player.minutes_played 94
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Ключевые пасы 45
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Рейтинг (старый) 6.5
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Удары в створ 1
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Перехваты 1
A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Отборы всего 39
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
1899 Hoffenheim 40.2% 37.0% market favourite
Draw 23.2% 24.4% draw risk
VfB Stuttgart 36.6% 38.6% Glicko-противоход
xG - 1.47 : 1.51
Total 2.5 Over 41.9% - Under 58.1%
Model check - - Difference 0.03
Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 37.0% / 24.4% / 38.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,592 / 1,595 1899 Hoffenheim / VfB Stuttgart
RD 75 / 75 rating uncertainty
HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.63 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 38.6%
X 3.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.39 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 37.0%
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.0%
12 1.24 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 75.6%
1X 1.47 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 61.4%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.55 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 41.9%
Under 2.5 2.88 market consensus · weak value +67.4% · model 58.1%
Both teams to score
No 3.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.35 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 2.28 43.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0%
Х 3.95 25.3% 4.03 24.8% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6%
П2 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.60 38.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.72 36.8% 2.63 38.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 3.00 33.3% 3.04 32.9% 3.00 33.3% 3.25 30.8% 2.92 34.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.89 34.6% 3.10 32.3%
yes 1.35 74.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.55 64.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 — 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 — 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 1.75 — 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 2.0 — 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 2.25 — 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 2.5 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
ТБ 2.75 — 1.44 69.4%
ТБ 3.5 1.95 51.3% —
ТБ 4.5 3.10 32.3% —
ТБ 5.5 5.50 18.2% —
ТМ 1.5 5.75 17.4% —
ТМ 2.5 2.90 34.5% —
ТМ 3.5 1.83 54.6% —
ТМ 4.5 1.35 74.1% —
ТМ 5.5 1.14 87.7% —
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
Founded 1899
VfB Stuttgart
Founded 1893
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

VfB Stuttgart

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Коки Матида Валентен Жендрей Травмированные Финн Ельч Амин Аль-Дахиль Дисквалифицированные Робин Гранач Гриша Прёмель CHAMP
1899 Hoffenheim Founded: 1899
VfB Stuttgart Founded: 1893
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
W W D L L
25.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
10.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:2 MayntsMaynts
20.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:5 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
7 Points
VfB Stuttgart
D L W L W
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
19.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:4 BavariyaBavariya
12.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 4:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
04.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 0:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
22.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 5:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart

1899 Hoffenheim
2 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)
Draws:2 (100%)
VfB Stuttgart: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 06.10 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 17:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
0:0
VfB Stuttgart
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
1:1
VfB Stuttgart
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 1899 Hoffenheim
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim Team comparison VfB Stuttgart
31 Игры 31
17 Победы 17
6 Ничьи 6
8 Поражения 8
61 Забито 63
45 Пропущено 43
57 Очки 57
105.27 Атаки 100.61
54.73 Опасные атаки 46.57
0 Голевые моменты 0
13.74 Удары по воротам 14.94
5.03 Удары в створ 6.03
аления 0.03 Голы Андрей Крамарич Фисник Аслани 1:0 7' Крис Фюрих Рамон Хендрикс 1:1 20' Базумана Туре 2:1 24' Андрей Крамарич Базумана Туре 3:1 49' Эрмедин Демирович Джейми Левелинг 3:2 64' Тьягу Томаш 3:3 90+5' Наказания Андрей Крамарич 49' Билал Эль-Ханнус 58' Бернардо 68' Атакан Каразор 69' Озан Кабак 83'

Хоффенхайм Штутгарт 31 Игры 31 17 Победы 17 6 Ничьи 6 8 Поражения 8 61 Забито 63 45 Пропущено 43 57 Очки 57 105.27 Атаки 100.61 54.73 Опасные атаки 46.57 0 Голевые моменты 0 13.74 Удары по воротам 14.94 5.03 Удары в створ 6.03 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 5.68 Угловые 5.65 1.81 Оффсайды 1.97 14.1 Фолы 9.52 55.03 % владения мячом 58.23 2.03 Предупреждения 1.84 0.06 Удаления 0.03 Голы Андрей Крамарич Фисник Аслани 1:0 7' Крис Фюрих Рамон Хендрикс 1:1 20' Базумана Туре 2:1 24' Андрей Крамарич Базумана Туре 3:1 49' Эрмедин Демирович Джейми Левелинг 3:2 64' Тьягу Томаш 3:3 90+5' Наказания Андрей Крамарич 49' Билал Эль-Ханнус 58' Бернардо 68' Атакан Каразор 69' Озан Кабак 83'