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Bundesliga Germany

14.03.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football

1899 Hoffenheim

1 : 1

Finished

VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - VfL Wolfsburg March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.41 / X 5.19 / 2 7.12
1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 68.0% / X 18.5% / VfL Wolfsburg 13.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.2%

1 68.0%

X 18.5%

2 13.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 67.1%

Under 2.5 32.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.14 market consensus · line only

X 5.20 market consensus · line only

1 1.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.01 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.06 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.32 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 6.80 market consensus · line only

2 +1 9.90 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.85 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.29 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.41 70.9%
X	5.28 18.9%
	7.28 13.7%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.41 70.9%	1.44 69.4%	1.38 72.5%	1.42 70.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.41 70.9%
X	5.30 18.9%	5.38 18.6%	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.28 18.9%	5.28 18.9%
	6.80 14.7%	7.31 13.7%	7.50 13.3%	7.20 13.9%	7.28 13.7%	7.28 13.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.33 42.9%	2.26 44.3%	2.20 45.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.34 42.7%	2.38 42.0%
yes	1.61 62.1%	1.58 63.3%	1.62 61.7%	1.59 62.9%	1.65 60.6%	1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.02 33.1%	3.11 32.2%	3.11 32.2%	2.80 35.7%
home_away	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%

Match center

1899 Hoffenheim

W L D W L

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 4:2 1. FC Heidenheim

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:1 FC St. Pauli

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 1. FC Köln

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 Frayburg

08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:5 Bavariya

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

VfL Wolfsburg

L L L D L

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Hamburger SV

01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 VfB Stuttgart

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 FC Augsburg

15.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 2:2 RB Leipzig

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Borussia Dortmund

0 Wins

1 Draws

4 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.6 Conceded

1 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - VfL Wolfsburg

1899 Hoffenheim

2 matches total

VfL Wolfsburg

1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)

Biggest win 1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 (02.11 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 02.11 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (09.05 18:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 5

Match history

02.11 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

3:2

VfL Wolfsburg

09.05 18:30 UTC

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim

2:2

VfL Wolfsburg