Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
09.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

1899 Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen

Germany Futbol
Stadium PreZero Arena
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 0
Finished
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 1899 Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen 9 мая 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.

Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.97 / 2 5.64
  • 1X2 market: 1899 Hoffenheim 64.1% / X 19.1% / Werder Bremen 16.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 69.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 64.1%
X 19.1%
2 16.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.2%
Over 2.5 69.1%
Under 2.5 30.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 09.05.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

1899 Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.51 market consensus · line only
X 5.63 market consensus · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 2.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.60 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 3.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.47 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
П1 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4%
Х 4.90 20.4% 5.23 19.1% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
П2 5.10 19.6% 5.94 16.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.10 16.4% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Unibet
no 2.50 40.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.49 40.2% 2.55 39.2%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.60 38.5% 2.70 37.0% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5% 2.63 38.0%
home_away 1.13 88.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.01 99.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.10 90.9% 1.06 94.3%
ТБ 1.75 1.08 92.6%
ТБ 2.0 1.09 91.7%
ТБ 2.25 1.22 82.0%
ТБ 2.5 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 2.75 1.41 70.9%
ТБ 3.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 4.5 3.10 32.3%
ТБ 5.5 5.50 18.2%
ТМ 1.5 6.50 15.4%
ТМ 2.5 3.00 33.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.83 54.6%
ТМ 4.5 1.35 74.1%
ТМ 5.5 1.14 87.7%
Match center
1899 Hoffenheim
D W W D L
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 3:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
25.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
10.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:2 MayntsMaynts
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
8 Points
Werder Bremen
L D W L L
02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 3:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:3 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Werder Bremen 1:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history1899 Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen

1899 Hoffenheim
2 matches total
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Werder Bremen: 1 (50%)
Biggest win 1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 (27.01 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (3:4, 29.09 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 5

Match history

27.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
2:0
Werder Bremen
29.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
3:4
Werder Bremen