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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
08.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Heidenheim

Germany Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
6 : 0
Finished
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Heidenheim November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.97 / 2 7.42
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 68.0% / X 19.2% / 1. FC Heidenheim 12.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 68.0%
X 19.2%
2 12.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 62.0%
Under 2.5 38.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Heidenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.45 market consensus · line only
X 4.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 6.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
X 5.25 19.1%
7.80 12.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
X 4.70 21.3% 5.10 19.6% 5.13 19.5% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%
7.80 12.8% 7.50 13.3% 7.80 12.8% 6.50 15.4% 7.50 13.3% 7.90 12.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.15 46.5% 1.99 50.3% 2.09 47.9%
yes 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.75 36.4% 3.05 32.8% 3.06 32.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.08 92.6% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
L W W W W
01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:3 MayntsMaynts
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
1. FC Heidenheim
D L D L W
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 0:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Heidenheim 2:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Heidenheim

Bayer Leverkusen
1 matches total
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
1. FC Heidenheim: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 (05.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 05.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
1:0
1. FC Heidenheim