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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Köln

Germany Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Finished
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Köln December 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.37 / 2 4.84
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 58.6% / X 21.8% / 1. FC Köln 19.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 58.6%
X 21.7%
2 19.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 63.5%
Under 2.5 36.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.12.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - 1. FC Köln

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.84 market consensus · line only
X 4.38 market consensus · line only
1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.65 60.6%
X 4.51 22.2%
4.84 20.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.61 62.1% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%
X 4.20 23.8% 4.55 22.0% 4.53 22.1% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.50 22.2%
4.90 20.4% 4.80 20.8% 5.13 19.5% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 4.80 20.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.46 40.7% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.50 40.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.53 39.5%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1% 2.34 42.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.23 81.3%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
L L W W L
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 6:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
1. FC Köln
D D L L W
06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
22.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 3:4 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
08.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 1:3 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
02.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
1. FC Köln 4:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points