Bundesliga Germany

23.08.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction

23.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Futbol

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 2

Finished

1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - 1899 Hoffenheim 23 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.65 / X 4.32 / 2 4.68
1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 57.6% / X 22.1% / 1899 Hoffenheim 20.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 57.7%

X 22.0%

2 20.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 61.7%

Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.08.2025 13:30 UTC

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.69 market consensus · line only

X 4.32 market consensus · line only

1 1.66 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.26 market consensus · line only

12 1.22 market consensus · line only

1X 1.19 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.29 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.78 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.15 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.31 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.68 59.5%
Х	4.40 22.7%
П2	4.80 20.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.65 60.6%	1.66 60.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.70 58.8%
Х	4.20 23.8%	4.35 23.0%	4.50 22.2%	4.20 23.8%	4.33 23.1%	4.45 22.5%
П2	4.60 21.7%	4.75 21.1%	4.86 20.6%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%	4.75 21.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.32 43.1%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%	2.38 42.0%	2.29 43.7%	2.40 41.7%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.59 62.9%	1.55 64.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.55 64.5%	1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.20 45.5%	2.28 43.9%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.29 43.7%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.21 82.6%

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

D L D W D

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Maynts

11.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 Borussia Dortmund

04.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Frayburg

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 FC Augsburg

20.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 FC St. Pauli

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

1899 Hoffenheim

L D D L L

17.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 0:4 Bavariya

09.05 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:2 VfL Wolfsburg

03.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 4:4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Borussia Dortmund

19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Frayburg

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

2.0 Scored

3.2 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - 1899 Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen

1 matches total

1899 Hoffenheim

Bayer Leverkusen: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 4:1 (14.09 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (4:1, 14.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 4

Match history

14.09 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

4:1

1899 Hoffenheim