Bundesliga Germany

14.03.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern München

Germany Futbol

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 1

Finished

Bayern München

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern München 14 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.16 / X 4.95 / 2 1.55
1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 18.6% / X 19.4% / Bayern München 61.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 73.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%

1 18.6%

X 19.4%

2 62.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 73.1%

Under 2.5 26.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - Bayern München

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.55 market consensus · line only

X 4.96 market consensus · line only

1 5.18 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.19 market consensus · line only

12 1.20 market consensus · line only

1X 2.53 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

2 +1 1.82 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.51 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.00 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	5.26 19.0%
Х	5.03 19.9%
П2	1.55 64.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
П1	5.10 19.6%	5.27 19.0%	5.25 19.1%	5.20 19.2%	5.26 19.0%	5.26 19.0%
Х	5.00 20.0%	5.17 19.3%	4.75 21.1%	5.10 19.6%	5.03 19.9%	5.03 19.9%
П2	1.55 64.5%	1.58 63.3%	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.55 64.5%	1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	3.15 31.8%	2.90 34.5%	2.75 36.4%	3.10 32.3%	3.19 31.4%	2.90 34.5%
yes	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.37 73.0%	1.39 71.9%	1.36 73.5%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.18 84.8%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%	1.18 84.8%
home_draw	2.54 39.4%	2.38 42.0%	2.58 38.8%	2.61 38.3%	2.61 38.3%	2.45 40.8%

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

D W D L W

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 Frayburg

04.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 Hamburger SV

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Maynts

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 Union Berlin

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 FC St. Pauli

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

8 Points

Bayern München

W W W W W

06.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

28.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:2 Borussia Dortmund

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:2 Eintracht Frankfurt

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Werder Bremen

08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 5:1 1899 Hoffenheim

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - Bayern München

Bayer Leverkusen

2 matches total

Bayern München

Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Bayern München: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Bavariya 0:3 (01.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 01.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 1

Match history

01.11 17:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

0:3

Bavariya

28.09 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

1:1

Bavariya