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Bundesliga Germany

29.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

29.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund

Germany Football

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 2

Finished

Borussia Dortmund

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.63 / X 3.50 / 2 2.57
1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 36.0% / X 27.1% / Borussia Dortmund 36.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 57.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%

1 36.0%

X 27.1%

2 36.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%

Over 2.5 57.9%

Under 2.5 42.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 29.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.58 market consensus · line only

X 3.51 market consensus · line only

1 2.64 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.50 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.50 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.03 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.27 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.45 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.72 36.8%
X	3.59 27.9%
	2.62 38.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.58 38.8%	2.70 37.0%	2.72 36.8%	2.50 40.0%	2.70 37.0%	2.67 37.5%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.64 27.5%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.45 29.0%
	2.58 38.8%	2.53 39.5%	2.67 37.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.45 40.8%	2.55 39.2%	2.45 40.8%	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.47 40.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.41 41.5%	2.62 38.2%
yes	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.48 67.6%	1.52 65.8%	1.53 65.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.51 66.2%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%
home_draw	1.48 67.6%	1.53 65.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.52 65.8%

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

W W L W W

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 VfL Wolfsburg

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 6:0 1. FC Heidenheim

01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:3 Bavariya

26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 Frayburg

18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 4:3 Maynts

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

Borussia Dortmund

D D W W L

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:3 VfB Stuttgart

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:1 Hamburger SV

31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:0 FC Augsburg

25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:0 1. FC Köln

18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:2 Bavariya

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen

1 matches total

Borussia Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 2:4 (11.05 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (2:4, 11.05 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 2

Match history

11.05 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2:4

Borussia Dortmund