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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg

Germany Football
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0
Finished
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg April 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.39 / X 5.31 / 2 8.19
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 69.9% / X 18.3% / FC Augsburg 11.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 69.9%
X 18.3%
2 11.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 59.0%
Under 2.5 41.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.19 market consensus · line only
X 5.31 market consensus · line only
1 1.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.28 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.39 71.9%
X 5.31 18.8%
8.19 12.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.28 30.5%
home_away 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.64 61.0%
Under 2.5 2.36 42.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
6.67 15.0%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
D D W D W
20.04 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
FC Augsburg
D W L W L
20.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 0:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
04.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 BavariyaBavariya
26.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC Augsburg 1:3 FrayburgFrayburg
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points