Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

Bundesliga Germany

18.04.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction Prediction

18.04.2026 13:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg

Germany Football

Stadium BayArena

Capacity 30 210

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 2

Finished

FC Augsburg

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Bayer Leverkusen — 67%

1 · Bayer Leverkusen ✓ Pick67.5%

market68%

X · draw19.3%

market18%

2 · FC Augsburg13.2%

market14%

Model estimate: win Bayer Leverkusen 67.5%, draw 19.3%, win FC Augsburg 13.2%. Model favourite — Bayer Leverkusen.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg April 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Strongest: Bayer Leverkusen - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 5.21 / 2 6.79
1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 67.8% / X 18.2% / FC Augsburg 14.0%
Glicko: Bayer Leverkusen 67.5% / X 19.3% / FC Augsburg 13.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 45.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%

1 ✓ Pick 67.8%

X 18.2%

2 14.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%

Over 2.5 68.9%

Under 2.5 31.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 67.6%

Total Over 2.5

Score 2:1

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 18.04.2026 13:30 UTC

Stadium BayArena (Leverkusen)

Capacity 30,210

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ????? ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Bayer Leverkusen 67%

💹 Market Bayer Leverkusen 6776%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen: Win 1.42 Bayer Leverkusen: Draw 5.00 FC Augsburg Win: 6.50 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.00 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Bayer Leverkusen bolshe 2.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total golov Bayer Leverkusen menshe 2.5: 1.73 Ind…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:2

Events 14

Statistics 24

Lineups 39

min Event Player Team

12' 12' Normal Goal | Patrik Schick O. Sonne Bayer Leverkusen

15' 15' Normal Goal | Fabian Rieder | assist/sub out: Dimitrios Giannoulis FC Augsburg

48' 48' Yellow Card | Jarell Quansah Bayer Leverkusen

52' 52' Yellow Card | Fabian Rieder FC Augsburg

60' 60' Substitution 1 | Alexis Claude-Maurice | assist/sub out: Elvis Rexhbeçaj Daria Khomutsianskaya FC Augsburg

65' 65' Substitution 1 | Lucas Vazquez | assist/sub out: Montrell Culbreath A. Wan-Bissaka Bayer Leverkusen

72' 72' Substitution 2 | Jarell Quansah | assist/sub out: Christian Kofane Bayer Leverkusen

74' 74' Substitution 2 | Rodrigo Ribeiro | assist/sub out: Uchenna Ogundu FC Augsburg

Metric Bayer Leverkusen FC Augsburg SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 3.8 1.33 final

Zablokirovannye udary 13 4 final

Shots off target 13 2 final

Shots on target 10 5 final

Udary vsego 36 11 final

Fouls soversheno 5 8 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 1 final

Offsides 1 0 final

Bayer Leverkusen #1 M. Flekken, #4 Jarell Quansah, #5 L. Badé, #12 E. Tapsoba, #14 P. Schick, #20 Álex Grimaldo, #21 Lucas Vázquez, #23 N. Tella, #24 Aleix García, #25 Exequiel Palacios, #30 Ibrahim Maza

FC Augsburg #1 F. Dahmen, #4 H. Massengo, #6 J. Gouweleeuw, #13 D. Giannoulis, #16 C. Zesiger, #19 R. Fellhauer, #20 A. Claude-Maurice, #21 Rodrigo Ribeiro, #30 A. Kade, #32 F. Rieder, #34 Arthur Chaves

Player Team Metric SStats

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Dribling popytki 3

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Edinoborstva vsego 1

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Edinoborstva vyigrano 4

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Fouls soversheno 1

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Seyvy 0

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen football.player.minutes_played 96

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Tochnost pasov % 5

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Klyuchevye pasy 108

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Reyting (staryy) 8

Aleix García Bayer Leverkusen Bloki 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Bayer Leverkusen 67.5% 67.5% market and model agree

Draw 18.4% 19.3% draw risk

FC Augsburg 14.2% 13.2%

xG - 2.12 : 0.81

Total 2.5 Over 45.5% - Under 54.6%

Model check - - Difference 0.01

Market vs Glicko gap: 0.01

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 67.5% / 19.3% / 13.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,615 / 1,464 Bayer Leverkusen / FC Augsburg

RD 78 / 75 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.79 market consensus · no value · model 13.2%

X 5.21 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 67.5%

Double chance

X2 2.90 market consensus · no value · model 32.5%

12 1.15 market consensus · no value · model 80.7%

1X 1.11 market consensus · no value · model 86.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.95 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.37 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.88 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.38 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.36 market consensus · no value · model 45.5%

Under 2.5 3.02 market consensus · weak value +64.7% · model 54.6%

Both teams to score

No 2.39 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.43 69.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%
X	4.85 20.6%	5.00 20.0%	5.53 18.1%	4.80 20.8%	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%
	6.80 14.7%	6.70 14.9%	7.31 13.7%	6.00 16.7%	6.50 15.4%	7.00 14.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.42 41.3%	2.50 40.0%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.50 40.0%	2.45 40.8%	2.36 42.4%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.68 59.5%	1.51 66.2%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%	1.52 65.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.85 35.1%	3.05 32.8%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.92 34.3%	2.88 34.7%
home_away	1.13 88.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.13 88.5%
home_draw	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	—	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.5	1.13 88.5%	—	1.05 95.2%
Over 1.75	—	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 2.5	1.44 69.4%	—	—
Over 3.0	—	1.84 54.4%	—
Over 3.25	—	2.06 48.5%	—
Over 3.5	2.10 47.6%	—	—
Over 4.5	3.45 29.0%	—	—
Over 5.5	6.25 16.0%	—	—
Under 1.5	5.75 17.4%	—	—
Under 2.5	2.70 37.0%	—	—
Under 3.0	—	2.06 48.5%	—
Under 3.25	—	1.84 54.4%	—
Under 3.5	1.70 58.8%	—	—
Under 4.5	1.30 76.9%	—	—
Under 5.5	1.11 90.1%	—	—

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

Founded 1904

FC Augsburg

Founded 1907

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

W W D D D

11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 Borussia Dortmund

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 6:3 VfL Wolfsburg

21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim

14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Bavariya

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 Frayburg

2 Wins

3 Draws

0 Losses

2.8 Scored

2.0 Conceded

9 Points

FC Augsburg

D D L L L

10.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:2 1899 Hoffenheim

04.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:1 Hamburger SV

22.03 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:5 VfB Stuttgart

14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:2 Borussia Dortmund

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:2 RB Leipzig

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

2.4 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - FC Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen

2 matches total

FC Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FC Augsburg: 1 (50%)

Biggest win FC Augsburg 0:2 (06.12 14:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 06.12 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

06.12 14:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

0:2

FC Augsburg

26.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

2:0

FC Augsburg

Match center

? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.