Match center
Start
05.10.2024 13:30 UTC
05.10.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel 5 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.08 / X 12.00 / 2 21.00
- 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 87.6% / X 7.9% / Holstein Kiel 4.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.7%
1
87.6%
X
7.9%
2
4.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1
1.08
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
8.00
market consensus · line only
12
1.05
market consensus · line only
1X
1.01
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.08 92.6% |
| Х | 12.00 8.3% |
| П2 | 21.00 4.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 8.00 12.5% |
| home_away | 1.05 95.2% |
| home_draw | 1.01 99.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 4.5 | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.02 98.0% |
| П2 | 17.00 5.9% |
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
D
W
W
28.09 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
1:1
Bavariya
Bavariya
22.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4:3
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
14.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.7
Conceded
7
Points
Holstein Kiel
L
D
L
29.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
2:4
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
2:2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
14.09 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
1:6
Bavariya
Bavariya
0
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.7
Scored
4.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - Holstein Kiel
Bayer Leverkusen
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals