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Bundesliga Germany

10.01.2026 17:30 UTC Match prediction

10.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Football

Bayer Leverkusen

1 : 4

Finished

VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart January 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.81 / 2 3.16
1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 44.9% / X 25.0% / VfB Stuttgart 30.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 44.9%

X 25.0%

2 30.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 62.7%

Under 2.5 37.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 10.01.2026 17:30 UTC

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.16 market consensus · line only

X 3.81 market consensus · line only

1 2.13 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.75 market consensus · line only

12 1.27 market consensus · line only

1X 1.36 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.39 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.15 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.30 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.52 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.65 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.19 45.7%
X	3.87 25.8%
	3.21 31.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.10 47.6%	2.19 45.7%	2.18 45.9%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%
X	3.80 26.3%	3.80 26.3%	3.94 25.4%	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.70 27.0%
	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.30 30.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.15 31.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.62 38.2%	2.79 35.8%	2.61 38.3%	2.50 40.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.62 38.2%	2.80 35.7%	2.57 38.9%	2.76 36.2%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.72 58.1%	1.76 56.8%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.27 78.7%	1.28 78.1%
home_draw	1.35 74.1%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.38 72.5%

Match center

Bayer Leverkusen

W W L L W

20.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 RB Leipzig

13.12 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 1. FC Köln

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 FC Augsburg

29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:2 Borussia Dortmund

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 VfL Wolfsburg

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

VfB Stuttgart

D W L L D

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 0:0 1899 Hoffenheim

14.12 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 4:0 Werder Bremen

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 0:5 Bavariya

30.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 1:2 Hamburger SV

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart 3:3 Borussia Dortmund

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.6 Scored

2.0 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen

0 matches total

VfB Stuttgart

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart January 10, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Bayer Leverkusen - VfB Stuttgart

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history