Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
22.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Futbol
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
4 : 3
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg 22 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.24 / X 6.87 / 2 11.86
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 77.8% / X 14.1% / VfL Wolfsburg 8.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 77.8%
X 14.0%
2 8.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.09.2024 13:30 UTC
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.87 market consensus · line only
1 1.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.24 80.7%
Х 6.87 14.6%
П2 11.86 8.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.39 22.8%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.06 94.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.04 49.0%
ТМ 3.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.07 93.5%
П2 10.19 9.8%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
W
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 4:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points