Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Futbol
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
6 : 3
Finished
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg 4 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.44 / X 4.88 / 2 6.48
  • 1X2 market: Bayer Leverkusen 65.8% / X 19.5% / VfL Wolfsburg 14.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 65.9%
X 19.4%
2 14.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5 64.0%
Under 2.5 36.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.04.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Bayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.48 market consensus · line only
X 4.88 market consensus · line only
1 1.44 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.12 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.82 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.93 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.20 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0%
Х 4.65 21.5% 5.20 19.2% 5.03 19.9% 4.60 21.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0%
П2 6.75 14.8% 6.30 15.9% 6.80 14.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.80 14.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.20 45.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.19 45.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.80 35.7% 2.81 35.6% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.82 35.5% 2.80 35.7%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.08 92.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
ТБ 0.5 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0 1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.5 1.15 87.0% 1.10 90.9%
ТБ 1.75 1.13 88.5%
ТБ 2.0 1.16 86.2%
ТБ 2.25 1.31 76.3%
ТБ 2.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 3.25 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 3.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 4.5 3.70 27.0%
ТБ 5.5 6.50 15.4%
ТМ 1.5 5.25 19.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.60 38.5%
ТМ 3.25 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 3.5 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 4.5 1.25 80.0%
ТМ 5.5 1.10 90.9%
Match center
Bayer Leverkusen
D D D W D
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 BavariyaBavariya
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 3:3 FrayburgFrayburg
04.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 MayntsMaynts
1 Wins
4 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
VfL Wolfsburg
L D L L L
21.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 1:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
01.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 0:4 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfL Wolfsburg 2:3 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.2 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayer Leverkusen - VfL Wolfsburg

Bayer Leverkusen
2 matches total
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfL Wolfsburg: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Bayer Leverkusen 3:1 (22.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (4:3, 22.09 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 7

Match history

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
3:1
VfL Wolfsburg
22.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4:3
VfL Wolfsburg