Bundesliga Germany

01.11.2025 17:30 UTC Match prediction

01.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayern München - Bayer Leverkusen

Germany Futbol

Bayern München

3 : 0

Finished

Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - Bayer Leverkusen 1 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 7.18 / 2 10.55
1X2 market: Bayern München 77.6% / X 13.3% / Bayer Leverkusen 9.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 75.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 77.6%

X 13.3%

2 9.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.2%

Over 2.5 75.2%

Under 2.5 24.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 01.11.2025 17:30 UTC

Match center

Bayern München - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.15 market consensus · line only

1 1.23 market consensus · line only

2 9.75 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.33 market consensus · line only

12 1.12 market consensus · line only

1X 1.06 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.15 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.38 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 7.00 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.76 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.30 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.23 81.3%
Х	6.96 14.4%
П2	10.60 9.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
П1	1.22 82.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.23 81.3%	1.23 81.3%
Х	7.60 13.2%	7.42 13.5%	7.50 13.3%	7.30 13.7%	6.96 14.4%	6.96 14.4%
П2	10.50 9.5%	11.40 8.8%	9.50 10.5%	11.25 8.9%	10.60 9.4%	10.60 9.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.42 41.3%	2.26 44.3%	2.25 44.4%	2.23 44.8%	2.35 42.6%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.57 63.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.63 61.4%	1.57 63.7%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	4.30 23.3%	4.33 23.1%	4.45 22.5%	4.45 22.5%	4.45 22.5%	4.00 25.0%
home_away	1.12 89.3%	1.10 90.9%	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%	1.12 89.3%	1.11 90.1%
home_draw	1.06 94.3%	1.05 95.2%	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.07 93.5%	1.06 94.3%

Match center

Bayern München

W W W W W

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:1 Borussia Dortmund

04.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Eintracht Frankfurt

26.09 18:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 Werder Bremen

20.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:1 1899 Hoffenheim

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.2 Scored

0.4 Conceded

15 Points

Bayer Leverkusen

W W W W D

26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 Frayburg

18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 4:3 Maynts

04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 Union Berlin

27.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 2:1 FC St. Pauli

21.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern München

1 matches total

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayern München: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 28.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (28.09 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bavariya

1:1

Bayer Leverkusen