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Bundesliga Germany

06.03.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

06.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayern München - Borussia Monchengladbach

Germany Football

Bayern München

4 : 1

Finished

Borussia Monchengladbach

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - Borussia Monchengladbach March 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.21 / X 7.72 / 2 10.75
1X2 market: Bayern München 78.7% / X 12.4% / Borussia Monchengladbach 8.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 75.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 78.8%

X 12.3%

2 8.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%

Over 2.5 75.6%

Under 2.5 24.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 06.03.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Bayern München - Borussia Monchengladbach

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.74 market consensus · line only

1 1.21 market consensus · line only

2 9.51 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.50 market consensus · line only

12 1.09 market consensus · line only

1X 1.05 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.38 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.47 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.24 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.85 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.23 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.61 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.21 82.6%
X	8.07 12.4%
	11.68 8.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.27 78.7%
X	7.10 14.1%	7.90 12.7%	8.40 11.9%	7.50 13.3%	8.50 11.8%	7.30 13.7%
	9.60 10.4%	10.00 10.0%	11.80 8.5%	11.00 9.1%	9.00 11.1%	10.25 9.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.24 44.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.10 47.6%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.27 44.1%	2.21 45.3%
yes	1.60 62.5%	1.65 60.6%	1.59 62.9%	1.57 63.7%	1.67 59.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	4.20 23.8%	4.68 21.4%	4.60 21.7%	4.33 23.1%	4.25 23.5%	4.50 22.2%
home_away	1.09 91.7%	1.10 90.9%	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.12 89.3%	1.07 93.5%
home_draw	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.07 93.5%	1.06 94.3%	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Bayern München

W W W W D

28.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:2 Borussia Dortmund

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:2 Eintracht Frankfurt

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Werder Bremen

08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 5:1 1899 Hoffenheim

31.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:2 Hamburger SV

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

13 Points

Borussia Monchengladbach

W L L D D

28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union Berlin

22.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 Frayburg

14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 Eintracht Frankfurt

07.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer Leverkusen

31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Werder Bremen

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.4 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Borussia Monchengladbach

Bayern München

2 matches total

Borussia Monchengladbach

Bayern München: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Borussia Monchengladbach: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Bavariya 3:0 (25.10 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 25.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bavariya

3:0

Borussia Mönchengladbach

10.05 16:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Bavariya

2:0

Borussia Mönchengladbach