Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
21.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Futbol
Bayern München
Bayern München
3 : 2
Finished
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt 21 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.11 / X 11.26 / 2 20.46
  • 1X2 market: Bayern München 86.6% / X 8.6% / Eintracht Frankfurt 4.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 81.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 86.7%
X 8.6%
2 4.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 9.2%
Over 2.5 81.8%
Under 2.5 18.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Bayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.11 market consensus · line only
X 9.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.27 market consensus · line only
12 1.06 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 6.25 market consensus · line only
2 -1 5.40 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 5.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.10 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.11 90.1%
Х 11.35 8.8%
П2 19.61 5.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
П1 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1%
Х 11.00 9.1% 13.10 7.6% 11.00 9.1% 11.50 8.7% 11.35 8.8% 11.35 8.8%
П2 20.00 5.0% 26.00 3.9% 17.00 5.9% 24.00 4.2% 19.61 5.1% 19.61 5.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 2.20 45.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6%
yes 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 8.00 12.5% 6.50 15.4% 7.80 12.8% 7.42 13.5% 7.42 13.5% 6.50 15.4%
home_away 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3% 1.06 94.3%
home_draw 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.00 100.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Bayern München
W W D L W
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
08.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
31.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:2 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
17.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Eintracht Frankfurt
W D L L D
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
06.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
24.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
16.01 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt 3:3 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Eintracht Frankfurt

Bayern München
2 matches total
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayern München: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Eintracht Frankfurt: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Bavariya 3:0 (04.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 06.10 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (06.10 15:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

04.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bavariya
3:0
Eintracht Frankfurt
06.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bavariya
3:3
Eintracht Frankfurt