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Bundesliga Germany

29.11.2025 14:30 UTC Match prediction

29.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayern München - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football

Bayern München

3 : 1

Finished

FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - FC St. Pauli November 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 10.05 / 2 24.94
1X2 market: Bayern München 86.6% / X 9.5% / FC St. Pauli 3.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 72.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 86.7%

X 9.5%

2 3.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%

Over 2.5 72.6%

Under 2.5 27.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 29.11.2025 14:30 UTC

Match center

Bayern München - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

1 1.10 market consensus · line only

X 9.43 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 7.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.06 market consensus · line only

1X 1.02 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 6.20 market consensus · line only

2 -1 5.43 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.11 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.29 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.42 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.60 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.10 90.9%
X	10.50 9.5%
	26.00 3.9%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.09 91.7%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.11 90.1%	1.08 92.6%	1.13 88.5%
X	9.50 10.5%	10.50 9.5%	10.50 9.5%	9.00 11.1%	10.00 10.0%	10.25 9.8%
	30.00 3.3%	23.00 4.4%	27.00 3.7%	23.00 4.4%	23.00 4.4%	26.00 3.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.60 62.5%	1.59 62.9%	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.58 63.3%	1.60 62.5%
yes	2.20 45.5%	2.37 42.2%	2.23 44.8%	2.25 44.4%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.23 44.8%	2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	7.00 14.3%	7.00 14.3%	6.50 15.4%	8.00 12.5%	6.90 14.5%	7.00 14.3%
home_away	1.05 95.2%	1.07 93.5%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%
home_draw	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.03 97.1%	1.00 100.0%

Match center

Bayern München

W D W W W

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 6:2 Frayburg

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:2 Union Berlin

01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Bayer Leverkusen

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:0 Borussia Mönchengladbach

18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:1 Borussia Dortmund

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

FC St. Pauli

L L L L L

23.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:1 Union Berlin

09.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1:2 Frayburg

01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:4 Borussia Mönchengladbach

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:2 Eintracht Frankfurt

19.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 0:3 1899 Hoffenheim

0 Wins

0 Draws

5 Losses

0.2 Scored

2.4 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - FC St. Pauli

Bayern München

0 matches total

FC St. Pauli

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Bayern München - FC St. Pauli

AI match prediction Bayern München - FC St. Pauli November 29, 2025

Fair probability (no margin)

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Bayern München - FC St. Pauli

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history