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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC Match prediction
26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayern München - FSV Mainz 05

Germany Football
Bayern München
Bayern München
3 : 0
Finished
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - FSV Mainz 05 April 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 7.50 / 2 11.72
  • 1X2 market: Bayern München 79.0% / X 12.8% / FSV Mainz 05 8.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 78.9%
X 12.8%
2 8.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.04.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Bayern München - FSV Mainz 05

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 1.22 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.61 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.22 82.0%
X 7.50 13.3%
11.72 8.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.61 21.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.69 59.2%
Under 3.5 2.24 44.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.08 92.6%
10.04 10.0%
Match center
Bayern München
W D W W W
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
12.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:2 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
04.04 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:1 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
27.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:0 VfL BochumVfL Bochum
19.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 4:0 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
FSV Mainz 05
D L D D L
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 1:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
FSV Mainz 05 0:2 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points