Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
22.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayern München - SC Freiburg

Germany Futbol
Bayern München
Bayern München
6 : 2
Finished
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - SC Freiburg 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.18 / X 7.49 / 2 15.04
  • 1X2 market: Bayern München 80.8% / X 12.8% / SC Freiburg 6.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 68.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 80.9%
X 12.7%
2 6.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 68.1%
Under 2.5 31.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Bayern München - SC Freiburg

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.51 market consensus · line only
1 1.18 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.94 market consensus · line only
12 1.10 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 5.00 market consensus · line only
2 -1 4.02 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.17 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.38 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
Х 7.78 12.9%
П2 17.88 5.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6%
Х 7.20 13.9% 7.80 12.8% 7.39 13.5% 7.00 14.3% 8.00 12.5% 7.30 13.7%
П2 14.00 7.1% 16.00 6.3% 15.00 6.7% 13.00 7.7% 13.00 7.7% 16.00 6.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.79 55.9%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.09 47.9% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 4.75 21.1% 4.74 21.1% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0%
home_away 1.08 92.6% 1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.08 92.6% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9%
home_draw 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.03 97.1% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0%
Match center
Bayern München
D W W W W
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:2 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
01.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
04.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
SC Freiburg
W D L D D
09.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
26.10 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:2 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
19.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 2:2 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
05.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
SC Freiburg 0:0 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - SC Freiburg

Bayern München
1 matches total
SC Freiburg
Bayern München: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
SC Freiburg: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Bavariya 2:0 (01.09 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 01.09 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bavariya
2:0
Frayburg