Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
19.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Futbol
Bayern München
Bayern München
4 : 0
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart 19 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 6.27 / 2 9.54
  • 1X2 market: Bayern München 74.6% / X 15.3% / VfB Stuttgart 10.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 74.6%
X 15.3%
2 10.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Bayern München - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.54 market consensus · line only
X 6.27 market consensus · line only
1 1.29 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.29 77.5%
Х 6.27 16.0%
П2 9.54 10.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.81 26.3%
home_away 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.72 58.1%
ТМ 3.5 2.20 45.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.10 90.9%
П2 7.86 12.7%
Match center
Bayern München
D D W W W
06.10 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 3:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
28.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
21.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 5:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.09 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 6:1 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
01.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Bayern München 2:0 FrayburgFrayburg
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
3.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
11 Points
VfB Stuttgart
D D W W
06.10 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:1 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:2 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 5:1 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
14.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:1 Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
2 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
8 Points