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Bundesliga Germany

11.01.2026 16:30 UTC Match prediction

11.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Bayern München - VfL Wolfsburg

Germany Football

Bayern München

8 : 1

Finished

VfL Wolfsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bayern München - VfL Wolfsburg January 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 9.72 / 2 17.26
1X2 market: Bayern München 84.5% / X 9.9% / VfL Wolfsburg 5.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 78.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 84.6%

X 9.8%

2 5.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.9%

Over 2.5 77.9%

Under 2.5 22.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 11.01.2026 16:30 UTC

Match center

Bayern München - VfL Wolfsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

1 1.13 market consensus · line only

X 9.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 6.04 market consensus · line only

12 1.07 market consensus · line only

1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 5.83 market consensus · line only

2 -1 4.62 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.16 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.20 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 4.24 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.00 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.13 88.5%
X	11.00 9.1%
	18.50 5.4%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.14 87.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%
X	8.90 11.2%	9.80 10.2%	9.70 10.3%	9.00 11.1%	9.50 10.5%	9.25 10.8%
	20.00 5.0%	18.00 5.6%	15.50 6.5%	13.00 7.7%	17.00 5.9%	24.00 4.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	2.04 49.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.05 48.8%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.99 50.3%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.79 55.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.74 57.5%	1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	6.00 16.7%	5.60 17.9%	5.75 17.4%	6.00 16.7%	6.30 15.9%	5.60 17.9%
home_away	1.05 95.2%	1.08 92.6%	1.06 94.3%	1.07 93.5%	1.07 93.5%	1.08 92.6%
home_draw	1.02 98.0%	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%	1.02 98.0%	1.03 97.1%	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Bayern München

W D W W W

21.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 4:0 1. FC Heidenheim

14.12 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 2:2 Maynts

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 5:0 VfB Stuttgart

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 3:1 FC St. Pauli

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Bayern München 6:2 Frayburg

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

4.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

VfL Wolfsburg

L W W D L

20.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:4 Frayburg

13.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

06.12 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 3:1 Union Berlin

30.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:1 Eintracht Frankfurt

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg 1:3 Bayer Leverkusen

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.2 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBayern München - VfL Wolfsburg

Bayern München

0 matches total

VfL Wolfsburg

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Bayern München - VfL Wolfsburg

AI match prediction Bayern München - VfL Wolfsburg January 11, 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Buy the full AI analysis

Bayern München - VfL Wolfsburg

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Market 1

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Match history