Match center
Start
26.09.2025 18:30 UTC
26.09.2025 18:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Bayern München - Werder Bremen
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Bayern München - Werder Bremen 26 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayern München.
Line favourite market consensus: Bayern München. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 11.49 / 2 22.54
- 1X2 market: Bayern München 87.2% / X 8.4% / Werder Bremen 4.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 80.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.0%
1
87.4%
X
8.4%
2
4.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 8.6%
Over 2.5
80.1%
Under 2.5
19.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Bayern München - Werder Bremen
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1
1.10
market consensus · line only
X
10.00
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
7.57
market consensus · line only
12
1.06
market consensus · line only
1X
1.02
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1
5.43
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.12
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.15
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
4.63
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.04
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.10 90.9% |
| Х | 12.25 8.2% |
| П2 | 27.50 3.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% |
| Х | 11.50 8.7% | 12.40 8.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 12.25 8.2% | 12.25 8.2% |
| П2 | 21.00 4.8% | 22.00 4.6% | 21.00 4.8% | 19.75 5.1% | 27.50 3.6% | 27.50 3.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.12 47.2% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 7.30 13.7% | 8.00 12.5% | 7.20 13.9% | 7.96 12.6% | 7.96 12.6% | 7.00 14.3% |
| home_away | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% |
| home_draw | 1.02 98.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% |
Match center
Bayern München
W
W
W
W
W
20.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
4:1
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
13.09 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
5:0
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
30.08 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
3:2
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
22.08 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
6:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
17.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bayern München
4:0
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
15
Points
Werder Bremen
L
W
D
L
W
20.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
0:3
Frayburg
Frayburg
14.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
30.08 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
3:3
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
23.08 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
1:4
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
17.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Werder Bremen
4:1
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2.4
Scored
2.2
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBayern München - Werder Bremen
Bayern München
1
matches total
Bayern München: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Werder Bremen: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Bavariya 5:0 (21.09 13:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (5:0, 21.09 13:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
21.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Bavariya
5:0
Werder Bremen