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Bundesliga Germany

07.12.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

07.12.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Finished

1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 4.39 / 2 4.75
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 58.2% / X 21.7% / 1899 Hoffenheim 20.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 67.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%

1 58.3%

X 21.7%

2 20.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 67.2%

Under 2.5 32.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 07.12.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.77 market consensus · line only

X 4.40 market consensus · line only

1 1.63 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.28 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.82 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 4.18 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.70 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.87 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.67 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.44 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.64 61.0%
X	4.55 22.0%
	4.95 20.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.64 61.0%	1.63 61.4%	1.70 58.8%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.67 59.9%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.58 21.8%	4.00 25.0%	4.50 22.2%	4.50 22.2%
	4.75 21.1%	4.80 20.8%	4.83 20.7%	4.60 21.7%	4.75 21.1%	4.85 20.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.62 38.2%	2.77 36.1%	2.62 38.2%	2.70 37.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.62 38.2%	2.80 35.7%	2.58 38.8%	2.75 36.4%
yes	1.42 70.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.49 67.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.20 45.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.29 43.7%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%
home_draw	1.18 84.8%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%

Match center

Borussia Dortmund

W D D W W

29.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:1 Bayer Leverkusen

22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 3:3 VfB Stuttgart

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:1 Hamburger SV

31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:0 FC Augsburg

25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:0 1. FC Köln

3 Wins

2 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

11 Points

1899 Hoffenheim

W D W W W

29.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:0 FC Augsburg

21.11 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 1:1 Maynts

08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 RB Leipzig

02.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:2 VfL Wolfsburg

25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim 3:1 1. FC Heidenheim

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.6 Scored

1.0 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - 1899 Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund

1 matches total

1899 Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

1899 Hoffenheim: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 3:2 (26.04 13:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 26.04 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

26.04 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

3:2

1899 Hoffenheim