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Bundesliga Germany

08.05.2026 18:30 UTC Match prediction

08.05.2026 18:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt

Germany Football

Stadium Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund

3 : 2

Finished

Eintracht Frankfurt

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Borussia Dortmund — 61%

1 · Borussia Dortmund ✓ Pick61.0%

market56%

X · draw21.0%

market22%

2 · Eintracht Frankfurt18.0%

market22%

Model estimate: win Borussia Dortmund 61.0%, draw 21.0%, win Eintracht Frankfurt 18.0%. Model favourite — Borussia Dortmund.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt May 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Strongest: Borussia Dortmund - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 4.29 / 2 4.27
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 55.7% / X 22.1% / Eintracht Frankfurt 22.2%
Glicko: Borussia Dortmund 61.0% / X 21.0% / Eintracht Frankfurt 18.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 25.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%

1 ✓ Pick 55.7%

X 22.1%

2 22.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%

Over 2.5 67.1%

Under 2.5 32.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Glavnyy konsensus AI: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 6/6

Confidence 63.3%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:0

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

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Match center

Start 08.05.2026 18:30 UTC

Stadium Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Borussia Dortmund 61%

💹 Market Borussia Dortmund 5573%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund: Win 1.70 Borussia Dortmund: Draw 4.20 Eintracht Frankfurt Win: 4.20 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.00 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Borussia Dortmund bolshe 2.5: 2.38 Individualnyy total golov Borussia Dortmund menshe 2…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 3:2

Events 18

Statistics 22

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

2' 2' Normal Goal | C. Uzun | assist/sub out: M. Dahoud C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt

21' 21' Yellow Card | L. Reggiani Luca Reggiani Borussia Dortmund

42' 42' Normal Goal | S. Guirassy S. Guirassy Borussia Dortmund

45+1' 45+1' Normal Goal | N. Schlotterbeck | assist/sub out: M. Beier Nico Schlotterbeck Borussia Dortmund

57' 57' Substitution 1 | M. Dahoud | assist/sub out: M. Götze M. Dahoud Eintracht Frankfurt

57' 57' Substitution 2 | F. Chaïbi | assist/sub out: J. Bahoya Farès Chaïbi Eintracht Frankfurt

72' 72' Normal Goal | S. Inacio | assist/sub out: M. Beier Samuele Inacio Borussia Dortmund

74' 74' Substitution 1 | J. Bellingham | assist/sub out: F. Nmecha J. Bellingham Borussia Dortmund

Metric Borussia Dortmund Eintracht Frankfurt SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.94 1.12 final

Zablokirovannye udary 0 2 final

Shots off target 4 3 final

Shots on target 8 4 final

Udary vsego 12 9 final

Fouls soversheno 15 8 final

Zheltye kartochki 3 0 final

Offsides 0 5 final

Borussia Dortmund #1 G. Kobel, #4 Nico Schlotterbeck, #9 S. Guirassy, #14 Maximilian Beier, #40 Samuele Inacio, #3 Waldemar Anton, #7 J. Bellingham, #10 J. Brandt, #20 Marcel Sabitzer, #49 Luca Reggiani, #26 Julian Ryerson

Eintracht Frankfurt #8 Farès Chaïbi, #18 M. Dahoud, #21 Nathaniel Brown, #23 M. Zetterer, #25 A. Kalimuendo, #3 Arthur Theate, #15 Ellyes Skhiri, #42 C. Uzun, #4 R. Koch, #20 Ritsu Doan, #5 A. Amenda

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Amaimouni Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 15

A. Amenda Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 92

A. Kalimuendo Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 77

A. Knauff Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 15

Arthur Theate Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 92

C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.goals 1

C. Uzun Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 77

Ellyes Skhiri Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 92

Farès Chaïbi Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 57

J. Bahoya Eintracht Frankfurt football.player.minutes_played 35

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Borussia Dortmund 56.1% 61.0% market and model agree

Draw 21.9% 21.0% draw risk

Eintracht Frankfurt 22.0% 18.0%

xG - 2.02 : 1.00

Total 2.5 Over 25.7% - Under 74.3%

Model check - - Difference 0.05

Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.05

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 61.0% / 21.0% / 18.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,662 / 1,499 Borussia Dortmund / Eintracht Frankfurt

RD 77 / 73 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.57 market consensus · no value · model 18.0%

X 5.12 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 61.0%

Double chance

X2 2.14 market consensus · no value · model 39.0%

12 1.20 market consensus · no value · model 79.0%

1X 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 82.0%

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.70 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.90 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.50 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · no value · model 25.7%

Under 2.5 2.86 market consensus · weak value +112.6% · model 74.3%

Both teams to score

No 2.70 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.46 22.4%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.10 24.4%
	4.10 24.4%	4.51 22.2%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.30 23.3%	4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.65 37.7%	2.69 37.2%	2.75 36.4%	2.62 38.2%	2.65 37.7%	2.80 35.7%	2.70 37.0%	2.65 37.7%	2.70 37.0%
yes	1.44 69.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.42 70.4%	1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	2.10 47.6%	2.19 45.7%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%
home_away	1.17 85.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
Over 1.5	1.12 89.3%	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.75	—	1.10 90.9%
Over 2.0	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 2.25	—	1.26 79.4%
Over 2.5	1.42 70.4%	1.38 72.5%
Over 2.75	—	1.48 67.6%
Over 3.5	2.05 48.8%	—
Over 4.5	3.35 29.9%	—
Over 5.5	6.00 16.7%	—
Under 1.5	5.75 17.4%	—
Under 2.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.75 57.1%	—
Under 4.5	1.30 76.9%	—
Under 5.5	1.12 89.3%	—

Match center

Borussia Dortmund

Founded 1909

Eintracht Frankfurt

Founded 1899

Match center

Borussia Dortmund

NS N. Sule Knee Injury

FN F. Nmecha Knee Injury

Eintracht Frankfurt

RK R. Kristensen Red Card

NC N. Collins Ankle Injury

Borussia Dortmund Founded: 1909

Eintracht Frankfurt Founded: 1899

Match center

Borussia Dortmund

L W L L W

03.05 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 0:1 Borussia Mönchengladbach

26.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 4:0 Frayburg

18.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 1:2 1899 Hoffenheim

11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 0:1 Bayer Leverkusen

04.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:0 VfB Stuttgart

2 Wins

0 Draws

3 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

6 Points

Eintracht Frankfurt

L D L W D

02.05 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 1:2 Hamburger SV

25.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 1:1 FC Augsburg

18.04 16:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 1:3 RB Leipzig

11.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 2:1 VfL Wolfsburg

05.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2 1. FC Köln

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

5 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - Eintracht Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund

1 matches total

Eintracht Frankfurt

Borussia Dortmund: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Eintracht Frankfurt: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (3:3, 09.01 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 3:3 (09.01 19:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

09.01 19:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

3:3

Eintracht Frankfurt

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.