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Bundesliga Germany

14.03.2026 14:30 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg

Germany Football

Borussia Dortmund

2 : 0

Finished

FC Augsburg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.78 / 2 6.13
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 64.2% / X 20.1% / FC Augsburg 15.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%

1 64.3%

X 20.0%

2 15.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%

Over 2.5 62.2%

Under 2.5 37.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 14:30 UTC

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.15 market consensus · line only

X 4.80 market consensus · line only

1 1.49 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.69 market consensus · line only

12 1.21 market consensus · line only

1X 1.14 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.71 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 5.75 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.16 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.48 67.6%
X	4.91 20.4%
	6.32 15.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.49 67.1%	1.53 65.4%	1.48 67.6%	1.49 67.1%	1.48 67.6%	1.48 67.6%
X	4.90 20.4%	4.86 20.6%	4.75 21.1%	4.75 21.1%	4.91 20.4%	4.91 20.4%
	6.00 16.7%	6.45 15.5%	6.00 16.7%	6.30 15.9%	6.32 15.8%	6.32 15.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.19 45.7%	2.17 46.1%	2.10 47.6%	2.14 46.7%	2.22 45.1%	2.15 46.5%
yes	1.68 59.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.67 59.9%	1.63 61.4%	1.71 58.5%	1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	2.70 37.0%	2.62 38.2%	2.72 36.8%	2.80 35.7%	2.80 35.7%	2.50 40.0%
home_away	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.14 87.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.14 87.7%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%

Match center

Borussia Dortmund

W L D W W

07.03 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:1 1. FC Köln

28.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:3 Bavariya

21.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:2 RB Leipzig

13.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 4:0 Maynts

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund 2:1 VfL Wolfsburg

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

FC Augsburg

L W W W L

07.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:2 RB Leipzig

27.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 2:0 1. FC Köln

21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 3:2 VfL Wolfsburg

15.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim

07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga

FC Augsburg 0:2 Maynts

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.2 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund

2 matches total

FC Augsburg

Borussia Dortmund: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FC Augsburg: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Borussia Dortmund 1:0 (31.10 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 26.10 13:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

31.10 19:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1:0

FC Augsburg

26.10 13:30 UTC

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

1:2

FC Augsburg