Match center
Start
18.10.2024 18:30 UTC
18.10.2024 18:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli
2
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli 18 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.85 / 2 10.67
- 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 74.4% / X 16.5% / FC St. Pauli 9.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
74.4%
X
16.5%
2
9.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Borussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
5.85
market consensus · line only
1
1.30
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.80
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Х | 5.85 17.1% |
| П2 | 10.67 9.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.80 26.3% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.45 40.8% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.09 91.7% |
| П2 | 8.90 11.2% |
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
L
W
L
W
05.10 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1:2
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
27.09 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
VfL Bochum
VfL Bochum
22.09 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1:5
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
13.09 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
4:2
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
2
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.5
Scored
2.8
Conceded
6
Points
FC St. Pauli
L
W
D
L
05.10 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:3
Maynts
Maynts
28.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
3:0
Frayburg
Frayburg
22.09 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
15.09 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:3
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.5
Conceded
4
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals