Match center
Start
17.01.2026 14:30 UTC
17.01.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli 17 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.
Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.39 / 2 11.37
- 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 73.9% / X 17.7% / FC St. Pauli 8.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
73.9%
X
17.7%
2
8.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
52.5%
Under 2.5
47.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Borussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
5.41
market consensus · line only
1
1.29
market consensus · line only
2
10.00
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.62
market consensus · line only
12
1.16
market consensus · line only
1X
1.05
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.53
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.82
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
8.00
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.29
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.56
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.35
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.29 77.5% |
| Х | 5.72 17.5% |
| П2 | 11.88 8.4% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% |
| Х | 5.20 19.2% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.64 17.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.40 18.5% |
| П2 | 11.00 9.1% | 12.00 8.3% | 12.20 8.2% | 10.00 10.0% | 12.00 8.3% | 12.50 8.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.57 63.7% |
| yes | 2.38 42.0% | 2.54 39.4% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.36 42.4% | 2.52 39.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.45 29.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.74 26.7% |
| home_away | 1.14 87.7% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
W
D
W
D
W
13.01 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
09.01 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:3
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.12 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Borussia Mönchengladbach
14.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1:1
Frayburg
Frayburg
07.12 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
2:0
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
11
Points
FC St. Pauli
L
D
W
D
L
14.01 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:2
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
21.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
0:0
Maynts
Maynts
13.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
2:1
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
06.12 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:1
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
29.11 14:30 UTC
Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli
1:3
Bavariya
Bavariya
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
2
matches total
Borussia Dortmund: 1 (50%)
Draws:1 (50%)
FC St. Pauli: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Borussia Dortmund 2:1 (18.10 18:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (3:3, 23.08 16:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
3:3 (23.08 16:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
23.08 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
3:3
FC St. Pauli
18.10 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
2:1
FC St. Pauli