Bundesliga Germany

31.08.2025 15:30 UTC Match prediction

31.08.2025 15:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin

Germany Futbol

Borussia Dortmund

3 : 0

Finished

Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin 31 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 5.13 / 2 7.11
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 68.0% / X 18.6% / Union Berlin 13.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 62.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 68.0%

X 18.6%

2 13.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.2%

Over 2.5 62.8%

Under 2.5 37.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 31.08.2025 15:30 UTC

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.13 market consensus · line only

X 5.14 market consensus · line only

1 1.40 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.94 market consensus · line only

12 1.17 market consensus · line only

1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.98 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.35 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 6.23 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.40 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.06 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.41 70.9%
Х	5.30 18.9%
П2	7.38 13.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
П1	1.40 71.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.43 69.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.40 71.4%	1.44 69.4%
Х	5.00 20.0%	5.20 19.2%	5.32 18.8%	4.80 20.8%	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%
П2	6.80 14.7%	7.10 14.1%	7.65 13.1%	7.00 14.3%	6.50 15.4%	7.30 13.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.05 48.8%	2.09 47.9%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.03 49.3%	2.09 47.9%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.70 58.8%	1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	2.85 35.1%	3.04 32.9%	2.80 35.7%	2.75 36.4%	2.95 33.9%	3.08 32.5%
home_away	1.12 89.3%	1.19 84.0%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%
home_draw	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.10 90.9%