Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
22.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart

Germany Futbol
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 3
Finished
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart 22 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.98 / 2 4.23
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 53.5% / X 23.9% / VfB Stuttgart 22.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 53.5%
X 23.9%
2 22.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 60.6%
Under 2.5 39.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.11.2025 14:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.23 market consensus · line only
X 3.99 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.25 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.38 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.54 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.83 54.6%
Х 4.01 24.9%
П2 4.25 23.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%
Х 3.90 25.6% 4.05 24.7% 4.20 23.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6% 4.10 24.4%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.45 22.5% 4.00 25.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.30 23.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3% 2.37 42.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.34 42.7% 2.49 40.2%
yes 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Borussia Dortmund
D W W L D
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
31.10 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
25.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:0 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
18.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:2 BavariyaBavariya
04.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund 1:1 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
VfB Stuttgart
W L W W W
09.11 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:2 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
26.10 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 2:1 MayntsMaynts
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 3:0 VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg
05.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart 1:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Dortmund - VfB Stuttgart

Borussia Dortmund
1 matches total
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
VfB Stuttgart: 1 (100%)
Biggest win VfB Stuttgart 1:5 (22.09 15:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 22.09 15:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

22.09 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund
1:5
VfB Stuttgart