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Bundesliga Germany

13.01.2026 19:30 UTC Match prediction

13.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Finished

Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen

Germany Football

Borussia Dortmund

3 : 0

Finished

Werder Bremen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen January 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Dortmund.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Dortmund. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.12 / 2 7.88
1X2 market: Borussia Dortmund 69.2% / X 18.6% / Werder Bremen 12.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 69.2%

X 18.7%

2 12.1%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%

Over 2.5 63.3%

Under 2.5 36.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 13.01.2026 19:30 UTC

Match center

Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 7.90 market consensus · line only

X 5.13 market consensus · line only

1 1.38 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.09 market consensus · line only

12 1.17 market consensus · line only

1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.09 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.42 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 6.55 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.37 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.06 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.38 72.5%
X	5.28 18.9%
	8.15 12.3%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	1.37 73.0%	1.39 71.9%	1.42 70.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.40 71.4%	1.33 75.2%
X	5.00 20.0%	5.30 18.9%	5.23 19.1%	5.25 19.1%	5.00 20.0%	5.00 20.0%
	7.60 13.2%	7.50 13.3%	8.20 12.2%	7.50 13.3%	8.75 11.4%	8.00 12.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Unibet
no	2.10 47.6%	2.08 48.1%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.05 48.8%	2.03 49.3%	2.13 47.0%	2.10 47.6%
yes	1.70 58.8%	1.76 56.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.72 58.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.70 58.8%	1.77 56.5%	1.68 59.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.27 30.6%
home_away	1.13 88.5%	1.20 83.3%	1.17 85.5%	1.18 84.8%	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%
home_draw	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%