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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
03.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim

Germany Football
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
4 : 4
Finished
1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim May 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.19 / X 4.09 / 2 3.05
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 44.4% / X 23.8% / 1899 Hoffenheim 31.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 44.4%
X 23.8%
2 31.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.05.2025 13:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.05 market consensus · line only
X 4.09 market consensus · line only
1 2.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.19 45.7%
X 4.09 24.5%
3.05 32.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.74 57.5%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.42 70.4%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 1.98 50.5%
Under 3.5 1.92 52.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.66 60.2%
2.32 43.1%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
L L L D D
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:4 Holstein KielHolstein Kiel
20.04 15:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
25.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 MayntsMaynts
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
2.2 Conceded
2 Points
1899 Hoffenheim
L L W L D
26.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
19.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:3 FrayburgFrayburg
12.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 2:0 MayntsMaynts
05.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 1:3 RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
27.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim 0:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points