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Start
16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
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16.05.2026 13:30 UTC
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Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim
4
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim May 16, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 1899 Hoffenheim.
Line favourite market consensus: 1899 Hoffenheim. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.71 / X 4.52 / 2 1.61
- 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 20.2% / X 21.0% / 1899 Hoffenheim 58.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 69.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.5%
1
20.1%
X
21.0%
2
58.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.8%
Over 2.5
69.9%
Under 2.5
30.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: Borussia Mönchengladbach
Main outcome
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Agreement
1/1
Confidence
43.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
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Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
yes
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score
4:0
Events
26
Statistics
24
Lineups
40
min
Event
Player
Team
14'
14' Normal Goal | H. Bolin
H. Bolin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23'
23' Normal Goal | H. Tabakovic
H. Tabaković
Borussia Mönchengladbach
32'
32' Yellow Card | A. Hajdari
A. Hajdari
1899 Hoffenheim
35'
35' Yellow Card | T. Lemperle
T. Lemperle
1899 Hoffenheim
40'
40' Yellow Card | H. Tabakovic
H. Tabaković
Borussia Mönchengladbach
43'
43' Yellow Card | P. Sander
P. Sander
Borussia Mönchengladbach
46'
46' Red Card | T. Lemperle
T. Lemperle
1899 Hoffenheim
46'
46' Yellow Card | T. Lemperle
T. Lemperle
1899 Hoffenheim
Metric
Borussia Monchengladbach
1899 Hoffenheim
SStats
Ozhidaemye goly (xG)
1.2
1.62
final
Zablokirovannye udary
2
4
final
Shots off target
1
4
final
Shots on target
6
3
final
Udary vsego
9
11
final
Fouls soversheno
11
15
final
Red cards
0
1
final
Zheltye kartochki
4
6
final
Borussia Monchengladbach
#6 Y. Engelhardt, #15 H. Tabaković, #26 L. Ullrich, #33 M. Nicolas, #36 W. Mohya, #4 K. Diks, #7 K. Stöger, #16 P. Sander, #30 N. Elvedi, #38 H. Bolin, #29 J. Scally
1899 Hoffenheim
#1 O. Baumann, #13 Bernardo, #18 W. Burger, #19 T. Lemperle, #29 B. Touré, #7 L. Avdullahu, #11 F. Asllani, #21 A. Hajdari, #5 O. Kabak, #27 Andrej Kramarić, #34 V. Coufal
Player
Team
Metric
SStats
A. Hajdari
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.assists
0
A. Hajdari
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.minutes_played
65
A. Hložek
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.assists
0
A. Hložek
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.minutes_played
14
A. Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.assists
0
A. Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.minutes_played
35
Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.assists
0
Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.minutes_played
55
B. Touré
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.assists
0
B. Touré
1899 Hoffenheim
football.player.minutes_played
76
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.61
market consensus · line only
X
4.52
market consensus · line only
1
4.71
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.19
market consensus · line only
12
1.18
market consensus · line only
1X
2.30
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.20
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.10
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.60
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.95
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.34
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.11
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.77
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.40
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.75 21.1% | 5.53 18.1% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.50 22.2% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% | 4.82 20.8% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.50 22.2% |
| 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.75 36.4% | 2.73 36.6% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.88 34.7% |
| yes | 1.42 70.4% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.41 70.9% | 1.37 73.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.17 85.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 2.35 42.6% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 2.0 | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.25 | — | 1.20 83.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.36 73.5% | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.39 71.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.00 33.3% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — |
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
L
W
D
D
L
09.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach
1:3
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
03.05 15:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach
1:0
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
25.04 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach
0:0
VfL Wolfsburg
VfL Wolfsburg
19.04 17:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach
1:1
Maynts
Maynts
11.04 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach
0:1
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
0.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
5
Points
1899 Hoffenheim
W
D
W
W
D
09.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
1:0
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
02.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
3:3
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
25.04 16:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
2:1
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
18.04 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
2:1
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
10.04 18:30 UTC
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim
2:2
FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
11
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyBorussia Monchengladbach - 1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Monchengladbach
2
matches total
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
1899 Hoffenheim: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
1899 Hoffenheim 1:5 (14.01 19:30 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
8 goals (4:4, 03.05 13:30 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
4:4 (03.05 13:30 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
14.01 19:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1:5
1899 Hoffenheim
03.05 13:30 UTC
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4:4
1899 Hoffenheim
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