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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
13.03.2026 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - FC St. Pauli

Germany Football
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
2 : 0
Finished
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - FC St. Pauli March 13, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.95 / X 3.40 / 2 4.28
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 49.3% / X 28.3% / FC St. Pauli 22.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 49.3%
X 28.3%
2 22.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 43.1%
Under 2.5 56.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.03.2026 19:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - FC St. Pauli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.41 market consensus · line only
1 1.95 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.24 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.44 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.15 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.97 50.8%
X 3.43 29.2%
4.35 23.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.97 50.8%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.42 29.2% 3.43 29.2% 3.43 29.2%
4.25 23.5% 4.36 22.9% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5% 4.35 23.0% 4.35 23.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.83 54.6% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.98 50.5% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
L W L L D
06.03 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:4 BavariyaBavariya
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:0 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
22.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
07.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
FC St. Pauli
D W W L W
08.03 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:0 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
28.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 1:0 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
22.02 16:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 0:4 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
07.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
FC St. Pauli 2:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Monchengladbach - FC St. Pauli

Borussia Monchengladbach
2 matches total
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
FC St. Pauli: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:0 (01.11 14:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (4:0, 01.11 14:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.04 13:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4:0
FC St. Pauli
06.04 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1:1
FC St. Pauli