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Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
28.11.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - RB Leipzig

Germany Football
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
0 : 0
Finished
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - RB Leipzig November 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.88 / X 3.77 / 2 2.29
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 33.1% / X 25.3% / RB Leipzig 41.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 33.1%
X 25.3%
2 41.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.0%
Over 2.5 65.4%
Under 2.5 34.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.11.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - RB Leipzig

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.29 market consensus · line only
X 3.78 market consensus · line only
1 2.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.65 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.31 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.40 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.92 34.3%
X 3.86 25.9%
2.35 42.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.80 35.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.96 33.8% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5%
X 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 3.94 25.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0%
2.28 43.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.80 35.7% 2.97 33.7% 2.85 35.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7%
yes 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.46 68.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.49 67.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
W W W L L
22.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:0 1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim
08.11 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 3:1 1. FC Köln1. FC Köln
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 4:0 FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 BavariyaBavariya
17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:3 Union BerlinUnion Berlin
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
RB Leipzig
W L W W W
23.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:0 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
08.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
01.11 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 3:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
25.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 6:0 FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
18.10 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
RB Leipzig 2:1 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
12 Points