Bundesliga
Bundesliga Germany
28.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Finished

Bundesliga

Germany

Borussia Monchengladbach - Union Berlin

Germany Futbol
Borussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
1 : 0
Finished
Union Berlin
Union Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Borussia Monchengladbach - Union Berlin 28 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Borussia Monchengladbach.

Line favourite market consensus: Borussia Monchengladbach. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.41 / X 3.23 / 2 3.03
  • 1X2 market: Borussia Monchengladbach 39.3% / X 29.4% / Union Berlin 31.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 39.3%
X 29.4%
2 31.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 46.0%
Under 2.5 54.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.02.2026 14:30 UTC
Match center

Borussia Monchengladbach - Union Berlin

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 2.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.57 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.94 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.97 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.79 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.49 40.2%
Х 3.28 30.5%
П2 3.12 32.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.34 42.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.42 41.3%
Х 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.37 29.7% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
П2 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.18 31.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 2.04 49.0%
yes 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5%
Match center
Borussia Monchengladbach
L L D D L
22.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:2 FrayburgFrayburg
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
07.02 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 1:1 Werder BremenWerder Bremen
25.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Monchengladbach 0:3 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Union Berlin
W L D L L
21.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
14.02 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 2:3 Hamburger SVHamburger SV
06.02 19:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:1 Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
31.01 14:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 1:3 1899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim
24.01 17:30 UTC Bundesliga
Union Berlin 0:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBorussia Monchengladbach - Union Berlin

Borussia Monchengladbach
2 matches total
Union Berlin
Borussia Monchengladbach: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Union Berlin: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Union Berlin 1:3 (17.10 18:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (1:3, 17.10 18:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.10 18:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1:3
Union Berlin
28.09 13:30 UTC Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1:0
Union Berlin